Introduction
Optimism is in the air for Lebanon in 2025. After years of political paralysis, the country has finally elected a president and a prime minister. The parliament elected Joseph Aoun as President and the latter appointed Nawaf Salam as the country’s Prime Minister. This marks a significant turning point in Lebanon’s recent history. According to a 2024 poll by the Washington Institute, a significant portion of the Lebanese population has expressed frustration with their government, as well as foreign influence from powers like Iran. The poll revealed that trust in the political establishment is at an all-time low, reflecting deep-seated cynicism shaped by decades of economic and political turmoil. While skepticism lingers among Lebanese citizens who have endured decades of economic and political crises, this new leadership offers a glimmer of hope. This article explores the significance of their leadership, analyzing their potential to steer Lebanon toward recovery.
Lebanon’s Political Crisis
Since the end of former President Michel Aoun’s term in 2022, Lebanon has been mired in political stagnation and economic turmoil. Deep divisions within parliament, exacerbated by Hezbollah’s influence and legislative gridlock, prevented the passage of essential reforms. The country suffered from a collapsed economy, skyrocketing inflation, and widespread emigration of its youth. The failure to elect a president for over two years highlighted the dysfunction of Lebanon’s sectarian political system, leaving citizens disillusioned with traditional leadership.
The New Leadership
President Joseph Aoun
Joseph Aoun, Lebanon’s former army chief and newly elected president, has gained widespread respect for his neutrality and disciplined leadership. During the October 17 revolution, he managed national crises with restraint, avoiding the excessive use of force against protesters and maintaining the army’s reputation as a stabilizing force. His ability to rise above sectarian politics and focus on national unity makes him a rare figure in Lebanese politics. During his inaugural address, Aoun pledged that the state would monopolize arms, restructure the judicial system, combat corruption, ensure the rule of law, and set Lebanon on a path of prosperity and growth.
Prime Minister Nawaf Salam
Nawaf Salam, a distinguished diplomat and former president of the International Court of Justice, brings a reformist vision to Lebanon’s government. With strong ties to the Lebanese diaspora and the international community, Salam’s leadership is expected to open doors to diplomatic and financial support. His background in international law and governance positions him as a capable leader in navigating Lebanon through economic and institutional reforms. Moving forward, Salam highlighted that limiting youth emigration is one of his main priorities. The prime minister promised the Lebanese youth that he will put forth reforms that will allow them to trust Lebanese democratic institutions again, offering them a more stable country in which they can thrive– and hopefully reclaim.
Why They’re a “Power Duo”
Joseph Aoun and Nawaf Salam bring complementary strengths to Lebanon’s leadership. Aoun’s military background ensures security and stability, while Salam’s legal and diplomatic experience can help restore Lebanon’s credibility on the global stage. Their shared commitment to fighting corruption, strengthening institutions, and addressing economic challenges provides a rare opportunity for Lebanon to break free from its cycle of dysfunction. At a time when Lebanon faces mounting threats, including the Israeli bombardment of South Lebanon, their leadership comes at a critical juncture. Moreover, upon his appointment, Nawaf Salam emphasized that he would work on strengthening the presence of the Lebanese army across all Lebanese territories and implement UN Resolution 1701, which calls for the retreat of Hezbollah from Lebanon’s Southern territory which borders Israel. In light of recent developments in the region, the prime minister and the president share similar positions regarding Lebanese sovereignty and peace in Lebanon as president Aoun called upon Israel to end its occupation in Southern Lebanon by the February 18 deadline. By prioritizing national unity and governance reforms, they have the potential to set Lebanon on a path toward sustainable recovery.
Regional and International Implications
The election of Aoun and Salam could reshape Lebanon’s relationships with key global players such as the U.S., France, Saudi Arabia, and Iran. Their leadership might lead to a reduction in Hezbollah’s influence, as Aoun’s presidency could limit its unchecked power within state institutions while maintaining national stability. Additionally, both leaders possess the credibility needed to secure stronger international support, attracting foreign aid and investments from the IMF, World Bank, and regional allies. One of the most significant indicators of renewed international interest in Lebanon came with French President Emmanuel Macron’s visit. Macron, who has long advocated for Lebanon’s recovery, reaffirmed France’s commitment to supporting reforms and economic restructuring. His visit was seen as a vote of confidence in the new leadership, signaling that international allies are willing to assist Lebanon in exchange for tangible political and economic reforms. Furthermore, Salam’s expertise in international law positions him to improve Lebanon’s diplomatic relations, enabling the country to mend strained ties and negotiate critical trade and energy agreements necessary for economic recovery.
Challenges Ahead
Despite their strengths, Aoun and Salam face formidable obstacles. Lebanon’s deeply entrenched sectarian political system is designed to resist change. Economic reforms, essential for securing international aid, require cooperation from a divided parliament. Sectarian divisions continue to hinder political unity, as traditional power-sharing structures make reform difficult. Additionally, managing Hezbollah’s influence while balancing regional and international pressures will be a critical test of their leadership. The country’s economic collapse, marked by hyperinflation, high unemployment, and mounting public debt, necessitates a comprehensive financial recovery plan to stabilize the nation. Public trust in the government has been severely eroded due to decades of corruption and mismanagement. To restore confidence, transparency and tangible progress in governance and economic policies will be essential.
Conclusion
The election of Joseph Aoun and Nawaf Salam represents more than just a political transition—it is a beacon of hope for Lebanon and its people. While challenges remain, their leadership offers the country its best chance in years to move toward stability and prosperity. For Lebanon to truly recover, its citizens, regional partners, and the international community must rally behind this leadership duo. If Aoun and Salam can push forward bold reforms with the necessary political will, 2025 could mark the beginning of Lebanon’s long-awaited transformation.
Image Source: Middle East Monitor
